NRL and AFL finals this weekend, starting tonight.
I think the teams most likely to upset (ie lower beating higher ranked teams) are based in the NRL, where it is conceivable that all the tips below could be wrong.

(Draws count as correct)
NRL (last round 6/8; season tally 133/188)
Brisbane
Penrith
Cronulla
Newcastle

(Draws count as correct)
AFL (last round 5/9; season tally 138/190)
Collingwood
Carlton
Saint Kilda
Brisbane

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